This week, the column looks at gambles--the relievers you will roster because of the initial role despite some weaker skills. We filter for gambles by saves, primarily, and then for poor xERA or repeated injury or some other reason that the reliever is rostered with added risk.
It seems obvious in 2020 to start in Colorado with "named closer" Wade Davis (RHP, COL). Davis was not good in 2019 and is not very likely to be any good in 2020, either. In fact, his BaseballHQ.com projection is downright putrid and because of it, the projection anticipates his failure and spreads out the saves:
COL Sv Hld IP xERA WHIP Dom Cmd HR/9 G% F% BPV $ ADP ===================== == === ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== == == === ==...
Almost!
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