FACTS/FLUKES: Nola, Swanson, Contreras, Smyly, Candelario

Nola hasn’t lived up to expectations … Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) entered 2023 with a 37 ADP following a tremendous 2022 season, but fantasy owners have been disappointed thus far, as he has amassed a 4.59 ERA through 69 IP. What’s behind the slow start?

Year   IP   ERA  xERA  BB%   K% xBB%  SwK  GB/LD/FB  H%/S% HR/F   Vel 
====  ===  ====  ====  ===  === ====  ===  ========  ===== ====  ==== 
2019  202  3.87  3.79   9%  27%   7%  12%  50/21/30  30/74  17%  92.9
2020   71  3.28  2.97   8%  33%   6%  14%  50/23/28  30/75  20%  92.4
2021  181  4.63  3.48   5%  30%   5%  13%  41/19/41  33/62  14%  92.7
2022  205  3.25  2.94   4%  29%   5%  13%  44/20/37  30/69  10%  92.6
2023   69  4.59  4.08   5%  22%   6%  11%  39/21/41  28/64  14%  91.6

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Health is always the big question with Byron Buxton, but what can his 2024 skills tell us about his outlook when he's in the lineup? Plus, Tylor Megill, Spencer Torkelson, Victor Scott, and Tony Santillan.
Mar 30 2025 3:08am
Is Jacob deGrom worth the gamble? We'll also examine Mike Trout, Carlos Rodón, Evan Carter, and Kenley Jansen.
Mar 27 2025 3:09am
Can Austin Riley rebound from a disappointing 2024? Plus, Clay Holmes, Max Muncy, MacKenzie Gore, and Joey Ortiz.
FREE
Mar 26 2025 3:10am
Paul Skenes looks to follow up his $35 R$ from 2024. What can he do for an encore? Plus Christian Yelich, Aaron Civale, Alec Bohm, and Thairo Estrada
Mar 25 2025 3:05am
Is Altuve declining or can he be a reliable option again? Let's examine the skills and metrics for Altuve, Bryce Miller, Jake Burger, Tanner Houck, and Dylan Moore.
Mar 20 2025 3:06am

Tools