One of the most common ways to assess a hitter is to look at his performance in the previous season and build some assumptions from there about skills and outcomes for the season to come.
This is a relatively effective method, but it has a bit of a flaw: It presupposes what we mean by “a season.”
Typically, we just immediately leap to the idea that “last season” means “the games that were played in April, May, June, July, August and September last year.”
But we could just as easily define “last season” as the last period that contains the most recent April, May, June, July, August and September.” Or, in fact, any period like that. For this article, we are using the "season" that started after last year’s All-Star break and ended at the...
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