For anyone who has ever seen a home run barely clear the outfield fence, the natural inclination is to think that a fraction of an inch at the point of contact would have turned that not-exactly-clobbered baseball into a long fly-ball out. By extension, it might be easy to conclude that the hitter got lucky or the pitcher unlucky in that particular instance. Well, thanks to a closer inspection of home run types—with a focus on the “Just Enough” variety—we can see interesting correlations and test whether our natural assumptions are in fact correct, or if perhaps our eyes are playing tricks on us.
Home Run Types
A “Just Enough” (JE) home run, as defined by ESPN’s Home Run Tracker, is one that clears the fence “by less than 10 vertical...
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