RESEARCH: First-pitch strike rates of starting pitchers
Jun 4 2014
Our research in 2013 on swinging strike rates (SwK%) illustrated the strong correlation between a pitcher’s level of swinging strikes and one of the staple pitching metrics we have used for years—Dominance (K/9) rate. SwK% is a metric often used today to validate strikeout levels and to forecast the potential for a pitcher to experience a surge or decline in strikeouts.
Like Dominance rate, Control (BB/9) rate is another indicator in our toolbox that has driven our pitching roster decisions for a long time. In fact, it is a significant component of our base performance value (BPV) metric for pitchers. However, we haven’t been able to incorporate a more granular measurement to validate a pitcher’s control rate—nor anticipate changes in a...
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