RESEARCH: Does a free agent signing late hamper his performance?

The dominating narrative this offseason has been the late signings of free agent players like Bryce Harper and Manny Machado, or the still-unsigned Craig Kimbrel. Besides those owners in early AL or NL-only auctions or drafts (raises hand), the landing spot doesn’t matter a ton for these top players. They will perform no matter the team. One question remains, does signing late hamper a pitcher’s or hitter’s performance?

No perfect process exists to determine ramp-up time effectiveness because of differing season start dates and the player’s own workout routine. I will try my best.

For this study, I’m going to examine the performance difference for free agents who...

  • Signed in January or later.
  • Signed from 2005 (post-PED) to 2018.
  • For...

Almost!

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