Introduction
Fantasy baseball drafts are as much about approach as they are strategy. In an era where offensive production has been muted, head-to-head players need to incorporate the value of plate appearances into their draft approach.
The Decline of Counting Statistics
Most are aware that offensive statistics have been precipitously declining. In 2004, 5,451 home runs were hit in the major leagues. In contrast, in 2014, we saw almost 1,300 less home runs, with a total of 4,186 home runs hit. This is a league-wide 23% reduction home runs. Similarly, from 2004 to 2014, RBI production has declined by 16% and run production by 15%.
But what does this offensive decline mean for our head-to-head teams? It means that we should attempt to...
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