STARTERS: H%, S%, hr/f anomalies 2018

When looking for mid-season SP buy-low or sell-high targets, one effective method is to target those with extreme hit (H%), strand (S%), and HR per flyball (hr/f) rates. In many cases, those extreme marks stand the best shot at regressing over the remainder of the season.

These starting pitchers have posted the most extreme H% so far in 2018:

  • Hit Rate (H%) Outliers, 2018 YTD*
    
    Name                League  ERA   WHIP  BPV  H%
    ==================  ======  ====  ====  ===  ===
    Moore, Matt             AL  8.02  2.05   22  41%
    Gray, Jon               NL  5.77  1.49  157  41%
    Bieber, Shane           AL  3.47  1.40  144  38%
    Vargas, Jason           NL  8.60  1.83   61  38%
    Pomeranz, Drew          AL  6.81  1.84   36  37%
    Musgrove, Joe        ...

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