STARTERS: Early Sell High Targets 2013
Apr 21 2013
We tend to stand pat with starting pitchers we own who get off to quick starts, since doing so acknowledges that we were smart in our drafts or when making our keeper lists.
But doing so for all of our hot April starting pitchers is a risky approach.
Many of those who have jumped out to quick starts have done so without underlying skill support, meaning they are likely to see their surface stats regress.
Let's search for these early season flukes by looking at the following skill-based indicators:
- Expected ERA vs. ERA
- Fastball Velocity April 2012 vs. April 2013
- Swinging Strike Rate April 2012 vs. April 2013
Keep in mind that not every guy who is outperforming his surface stats is worth selling high. Guys like Matt Moore (LHP,...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Starting Pitchers
Drew Rasmussen's more good-than-great skills in 2025 suggest his sterling surface stats could be due for big corrections in 2026.
Mar 7 2026 3:09am
Mar 7 2026 3:09am
Ben Brown might be the best starting pitcher profit play in the game at his current market price.
Feb 28 2026 3:05am
Feb 28 2026 3:05am
Ian Seymour's intriguing command pillars make him an excellent LIMA Plan target heading into 2026.
Feb 21 2026 3:07am
Feb 21 2026 3:07am
Ben Brown's disappointing 2025 season hid a collection of intriguing skills, making him a young starter to watch this spring.
Feb 14 2026 3:05am
Feb 14 2026 3:05am
Former ace Sandy Alcantara finally looked healthy late in 2025, giving hope that he can recapture his ace-like form in 2026.
Jan 30 2026 3:05am
Jan 30 2026 3:05am
