STARTERS: Early buy-low targets, May 2017

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year. They can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

The following SP have the largest gap between their actual ERA and their skills-driven expected ERA (xERA):

  • xERA vs. ERA
    
    Name                   League  BPV  ERA   xERA  Diff
    =====================  ======  ===  ====  ====  =====
    Tomlin, Josh               AL  131  6.86  3.64  -3.22
    Pruitt, Austin             AL  107  7.52  4.33  -3.19
    Bauer, Trevor              AL  108  6.92  3.82  -3.10
    Wright, Steven             AL   56  8.25  5.25  -3.00
    Anderson, Brett            NL   13  8.18  5.20  -2.98
    Gsellman, Robert           NL   65  7.12  4.48  -2.64
    Covey, Dylan...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Logan Gilbert's sterling June results were backed by equally elite underlying skills.
Jul 6 2024 3:09am
Paul Skenes (R) and Jared Jones have quickly become two of the most skilled young starters in the game.
Jun 29 2024 3:11am
Ben Brown's elite skills while pitching with runners on base confirm that he has not reached his upside yet.
Jun 22 2024 3:09am
Chris Paddack's up-and-down results have been the result of some significant struggles away from home.
Jun 15 2024 3:09am
Brandon's Pfaadt's elite command and very unlucky strand rate against righty bats make him a premium mid-season target.
Jun 8 2024 3:09am

Tools