Let's wrap up our one-split-away series by looking at the skills of starting pitchers during the first, second, and third times they go through lineups.
Our prior research has shown that a SP's stats and skills erode the more times they go through lineups during a game:
Stats & skills by time through lineup - MLB 2010-2012* Lineup ERA WHIP | Ctl Dom HR/9 GB% | H% S% | BPV ====== ==== ==== | === === ==== === | === === | === 1st 4.10 1.30 | 3.0 7.5 1.0 46% | 30% 71% | 79 2nd 4.02 1.34 | 2.9 6.9 1.0 47% | 31% 73% | 71 3rd 4.34 1.41 | 3.0 6.4 1.2 45% | 31% 72% | 56 *starting pitchers only
Some interesting takeaways from the above research:
Almost!
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