STARTERS: 2021 Gambles

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on them.

Let's identify these risky SP for 2021 by looking at those who earned at least $5 in 2020 but had below average skills:

  • <100 BPV, 5x5 $5+, 2020*
    
    Name                 Lg  5x5 $  BPV
    ===================  ==  =====  ===
    Peterson, David      NL    $12   35
    Hill, Rich           AL     $5   42
    Turnbull, Spencer    AL     $6   49
    Fiers, Mike          AL     $5  ...

Almost!

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