STARTERS: 2011 BPV by Time Through Lineup

The traditional approach of analyzing only a pitcher's aggregate skills is incomplete when it comes to starting pitchers. After all, a pitcher owns his skill flashes just as much as he owns his aggregate skills. The skill flashes just come in smaller sample sizes.

As you prepare for the upcoming season, you can gain an advantage even in skill-savvy leagues by speculating on skill flashes. There is risk with doing this, since smaller sample sizes result in less data reliability. But this approach also allows you to speculate on breakouts before they happen and on end-game targets before they get on anyone else's radar.

This is the approach that we will regularly take in this column during the season. In preparation, let's take a...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Reynaldo Lopez is being drafted as an SP2 in many leagues after his strong 2024, but his more good-than-great skills suggest he'll have a hard time duplicating that success.
Mar 8 2025 3:08am
MacKenzie Gore's steady increase in swinging strikes and decline in exit velocity make him a premium breakout target in 2025 drafts.
Feb 28 2025 3:30am
Nick Pivetta's homer-induced history of poor surface stats gives him good profit potential in his new park given the elite skills he has posted the last two seasons.
Feb 22 2025 3:30am
A healthy Ben Brown could be a premium profit center in 2025.
Feb 15 2025 3:30am
Jordan Montgomery's steadily impactful results from 2021-2023 suggest he should rebound significantly in 2025 if healthy.
FREE
Feb 6 2025 3:07am

Tools