Gambles, 2024

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on them.

Here's a closer look at 10 starting pitchers whose downside should give you pause on draft day.


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chris Bassitt (RHP, TOR) has outperformed his expected ERA in each of the past six seasons. His ability to induce soft contact has been the driver of his success. The average exit velocity against him has been in the game's top 20th...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Merrill Kelly's rough early results are driven by a shaky skill base that's not showing any signs of life.
Apr 19 2025 3:07am
Justin Verlander's poor early stats seemingly validate his worrisome 2025 outlook, but his electric command sub-indicators point to a buying opportunity.
Apr 12 2025 3:07am
Logan Gilbert has been the game's best starter over the season's first week, and it has not been close.
Apr 5 2025 3:30am
David Festa's intriguing second half skills last season and big spring this year make him an ideal sixth starter stash.
Mar 29 2025 3:09am
Gavin Williams is compiling the ingredients for a growth season in 2025 with a strong performance this spring.
Mar 21 2025 3:10am

Tools