One approach to identify potential BA, HR, and RBI surgers is to split their skills and analyze the extremes to determine if they could be a tweak away from finishing strong. One example is to look at a batter's stats and skills with the bases empty and with runners on base.
Let's start by setting some performance baselines in these two scenarios:
Bases Empty Stats & Skills: 2013-2016 YTD Year League BA OBP Slg OPS ISO | bb% ct% Eye h% ==== ====== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== | === === ==== === 2013 AL .252 .313 .404 .717 .152 | 7% 78% 0.37 30% 2014 AL .246 .305 .381 .686 .136 | 7% 77% 0.34 29% 2015 AL .246 .306 .405 .711 .156 | 7% 78% 0.34 29% 2016* AL .246 .304 ...
Almost!
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