One approach to identify potential BA, HR and RBI surgers is to split their skills and analyze the extremes to determine if they could be a tweak away from finishing strong. Looking at a batter's stats and skills with the bases empty compared to with runners on base is one way to do this.
Let's start by setting some performance baselines in these two scenarios.
Bases Empty Stats & Skills: 2013-2018 YTD Year League BA OBP Slg OPS ISO | bb% ct% Eye h% ==== ====== ==== ==== ==== ==== ==== | === === ==== === 2013 AL .252 .313 .404 .717 .152 | 7% 78% 0.37 30% 2014 AL .246 .305 .381 .686 .136 | 7% 77% 0.34 29% 2015 AL .246 .306 .405 .711 .156 | 7% 78% 0.34 29% 2016 AL...
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