SPECULATOR: Snap judgments, 2021 pitchers

It's still too early, but the temptation is growing.

We're itching to (over-)react to what’s happened over the first three weeks of the season. Being patient is the prudent thing to do, but we're often forced to act on small samples at this point in the year, so if you must scratch that itch, the Speculator is the space for you.

Our disclaimer at the bottom of this page means we aren’t constrained by issues like the legitimacy of underlying sample sizes. We can’t completely disregard our numbers-based approach, of course, but we do have some more leeway as we project ahead, especially when we look at per-pitch indicators like changes in velocity, whiffs, and approach (pitch mix).

Last week, we made snap judgments with QBaB for hitters;...

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