SPECULATOR: Downside risk of leading hitters

There are some very impressive individual performances headlining MLB leader boards as we approach the season's midpoint. However, we also know that mid-season leaders are prone to fading in the 2nd half, as regression to the mean comes calling. What first-half hitting studs are particularly at risk?

American League

Josh Hamilton (OF, TEX)
What he's done so far:  .314 BA, 25 HR, 73 RBI, 6 SB
The looming risk: Stamina. Hamilton is known as a less-than durable commodity. His career his season AB totals are as scattershot as could be, with single season totals in the 200, 300, 400, 500, and 600 AB range for one season each. Even with Hamilton reaching the 275-AB mark for the first half of this season, it's TBD which bucket he'll...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

Baseball is back and we're here to overreact. We'll speculate on several Opening Weekend storylines.
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
Our annual Opening Day Eve exercise at category leaders who went outside the Top 200 this draft season.
Mar 26 2025 3:09am
They come from all stages of the draft. We'll use history as our guide to speculate on this season's Top 15 players.
Mar 19 2025 3:10am
Applying some of Flaherty's pre-breakout traits to this year's player pool.
Mar 12 2025 3:05am
We'll apply some lessons learned from last year's pool to speculate on this year's breakouts.
Mar 5 2025 3:09am

Tools