SPECULATOR: 2022's end-of-season first round

So much blood, sweat, and ink goes into dissecting every season's first round. We all see the same 15-20 names atop overall ranking lists for months, and it seems like a foregone conclusion that they'll finish near the top by season's end.

Truth is, we have very little clue how the end-of-season first round will turn out, and if history is any indication, it'll look drastically different than it does in March.

Ron Shandler’s research in the Baseball Forecaster tells us that on average, just one-third of the market's Top 15 players will return first-round value at the end of the year. Here’s the total breakdown of first-round earners—defined as the Top 15 overall players in standard 5x5 mixed leagues—grouped by their preseason Average...

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