Embrace volatility.
That’s the mantra for Xtreme Regression Drafting (XRD), as espoused by Ron Shandler in the 2012 Baseball Forecaster and in an essay from earlier this year. As he pointed out, “regression and gravity are the two strongest forces known to man.” In theory, that’s straightforward—but how hard is it to do in practice? It's not always as easy as coveting high reliability scores and avoiding those messy consistency grades of C or lower.
I decided to take XRD for a test spin at last weekend’s AL-LABR auction. It was time to see if I could dance with the devil.
XRD is not a pedal-to-the-metal thrill ride on the dark side of consistency; as described in the Forecaster, you still need to draft a core of solid, reliable...
Almost!
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