Back in 1993, in what was then the Baseball Forecaster monthly newsletter, I ran a feature that compared our projections on a group of players to those of four other touts. I did this because I wondered how we stacked up against the more well-known prognosticators—Bill James, John Benson, Alex Patton and Steve Mann. I received so much positive feedback that I ran it again in 1994. And again in 1995. And over 20 years later, I'm still running it every spring.
The focus has always been the same. We are looking for the toughest players to project, so we might benefit from seeing a range of opinion from some of the industry's top analysts.
But over the years, the usefulness of this exercise has declined. In the past, when forecasting...
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