I want to talk about a player who I've been writing about lately, in my column at USA Today as well as in my weekly chats. He is an amazing player having an amazing year. Let's set the mood with a question from one of those chats:
"Mike Trout has been unbelievable. What stats should we thinking about for him next year? Should there be some regression? He is clearly gonna be a top 5 pick in non-keeper leagues."
Absolutely 100% correct. His average draft position next year will most certainly be in the top 5. And anyone who drafts him that high has to be absolutely crazy.
I know, I know, it's human nature to put inflated emphasis on current performance. We call it the recency bias. You look at Trout's current numbers and how can...
Almost!
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