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Maddux earns win #350

May 12, 2008 - Paul Petera

On his fifth attempt, Greg Maddux (RHP, SD) finally earned his 350th win, beating the Rockies Saturday with six innings of three-hit ball. For all of his accomplishments, Maddux may be one of the more overlooked pitchers in fanalytic circles these days. Perhaps it's the dwindling strikeout totals or the lack of dazzling stuff on the mound. Whatever, the guy is still producing at age 42:

        IP   ERA  Ctl  Dom  Cmd   S%  BPV  5x5
       ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===  ===
2004   212  4.03  1.4  6.4  4.6  72%   92  $21
2005   225  4.24  1.4  5.4  3.8  69%   77  $17
2006   210  4.20  1.6  5.0  3.2  67%   72  $18
2007   198  4.14  1.1  4.7  4.2  67%   95  $16
2008    50  3.60  1.4  4.7  3.3  72%   73  $12

We're still at a point in the season where numbers can be deceiving. For instance, if you take away Maddux's start on 4/18, where he gave his beleaguered bullpen a break and took one for the team for seven innings, his ERA would be 2.30 and his Cmd would be 4.4. Regardless, his output is still very predictable, and in a mostly good way. No, he won't help you much in strikeouts, but he'll give you a lot of meaningful and stable innings and double-digit wins.

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FANALYTICS -- Ron Shandler

Tourniquet

I woke up on the morning of April 24 to find my Tout Wars team (12-team AL) in last place. Not only was this team scraping bottom, but it was doing it in style... 39 points, 62 points out of first... and 10 points behind the 11th place team. I don't worry too much about these things in April; it's early, the dust hasn't yet cleared on all the anomalies. But it didn't get any better...

More free reads from the Baseball HQ Library:
Rotisserie Gaming: Recovering from a slow start
Speed Buyers Guide: Slow starters
Rotisserie Gaming: The arithmetic of panic
Fanalytics: PQS and qERA - New frontiers in pitcher evaluation
Fanalytics: Quint-Inning - The Official Rules
Fanalytics: The great myths of projective accuracy

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Ron Shandler's Fanalytics -- May 10

Tourniquet

I woke up on the morning of April 24 to find my Tout Wars team (12-team AL) in last place. Not only was this team scraping bottom, but it was doing it in style... 39 points, 62 points out of first... and 10 points behind the 11th place team. I don't worry too much about these things in April; it's early, the dust hasn't yet cleared on all the anomalies. But it didn't get any better...

Jock Thompson - American League - May 12

Kinsler running game remains perfect

Ian Kinsler (2B, TEX) picked up three hits against TEX Sunday, raising his BA to .306. Of further fanalytic note here was Kinsler’s ninth consecutive SB without a CS, in a season that is only just approaching the quarter turn. A terrific beginning, but the BPIs don’t point to a real skill improvement…

Paul Petera - National League - May 12

Maddux earns win #350

On his fifth attempt, Greg Maddux (RHP, SD) finally earned his 350th win, beating the Rockies Saturday with six innings of three-hit ball. For all of his accomplishments, Maddux may be one of the more overlooked pitchers in fanalytic circles these days. Perhaps it's the dwindling strikeout totals or the lack of dazzling stuff on the mound. Whatever, the guy is still producing at age 42...

Stephen Nickrand - Starting Pitchers Buyers Guide - May 11

12 Guys to Buy Low

With six weeks of data in the books, now's the time to focus your efforts on buying guys on discount. We're already starting to see ERA corrections from aces like Sabathia and Oswalt. Here's why guys like Chad Billingsley and Johnny Cueto have the goods to show dramatic ERA gains too...

Rob Gordon – Minor League News and Scouting – May 10

Minor League News and Scouting

This week the Minor League News and Scouting takes another look around the minors to see who is hot, who is not, and who is on the shelf.  We also take a look at some of the top prospects who are on the verge of making the jump to the majors.

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HQPOLL
How long do you wait to cut a struggling frontline pitcher (Round 1-6, $20+ draft pick)?
Three consecutive blowout starts. I can't afford to wait.
4-6 weeks of poor performance.
You have to give a frontliner at least 2-3 months.
I'll ride him all year if I have to. Odds of a turnaround are greater than any free agent option.
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