ROTO: The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy and You

Cell phones don’t cause cancer. There is no Verducci Effect. Nostradamus didn’t predict anything. And players don’t play harder or better in contract-year seasons.

All of these theses are examples of the Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy. The name derives from the fictional gunslinger that shoots randomly at the side of a barn. He then finds a cluster, circles it and pronounces that he is a sharpshooter.

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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.