ROTISSERIE: Recency bias and the belief in the law of small numbers

A main theme this year at is to raise awareness of a recency bias often prevalent when we attempt to forecast future performance. In essence, "recency bias" means we use the most recent past to guide our choices. Thoughts and information that come to mind first are quite salient and often seen as most important.

Full text available to BaseballHQ full subscription subscribers only

Click here to subscribe

  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.