RESEARCH: Future batter value based on Year-1 value

In May of 2008, the Oakland A’s called up a young outfielder named Carlos Gonzalez. He got into 85 games and amassed a little over 300 AB, with 4 HR, 26 RBI, 4 SB and a .242 BA. As a fantasy batter, he was worth around -$4.

Fast-forward two seasons, and Gonzalez was a star. He’d been traded to Colorado, acquired a snazzy nickname (“CarGo” ) and rung up a gaudy 34-117-26-.336 BA campaign. He was an MVP candidate (third in the voting), and his $42 fantasy value led all hitters that year.

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