MASTER NOTES: Unlucky pitchers

In assessing and projecting player performance, a core principle at BaseballHQ.com is the importance of understanding and managing luck.

We know players will get lucky or unlucky—that’s what makes fantasy baseball unpredictable, which makes it interesting and fun.

And of all the counting stats in fantasy baseball, the one most prone to luck is pitcher wins.

Some stat sites include stats that seem to address luck in pitcher wins, but the stats depend too much on “Quality Starts.” A 4.50 ERA ain’t quality enough for me.

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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.