FANALYTICS: Sixth Annual Longshot Caucus

Nobody expected Asdrubal Cabrera to hit 25 HRs in 2011. That's because everyone came into last season with a set of preconceptions about what the Indians' shortstop was capable of doing. Last year at this time, you would have been hard-pressed to find a source that projected him for even 10 HRs, let alone 250% more.

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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.