BATTERS: Home-road splits, 2016

Continuing our one-split-away series, let's take a look at the batters who have posted the most extreme home/road production, power, and skill splits so far in 2016.

This exercise can help you adjust your daily lineups accordingly, and can also help you spot guys who may be one adjustment away from taking a big step forward.

So far in 2016, the following bats own the widest home/road OPS splits:

  • OPS, Home vs. Road
    
    Name                League  Position  OPS Home  OPS Road  Diff
    ==================  ======  ========  ========  ========  =====
    Adams, Matt             NL        1B     1.281      .633  -.648
    Nieuwenhuis, Kirk       NL        CF      .936      .431  -.505
    Cabrera, Miguel         AL        1B     1.136      .670  -.466
    Duffy, Matt             NL        3B      .859      .407  -.452
    McCann, James           AL         C      .731      .311  -.420
    Napoli, Mike            AL     1B/DH     1.010      .592  -.418
    Moustakas, Mike         AL        3B      .999      .633  -.366
    Moreland, Mitch         AL        1B      .829      .469  -.360
    Goldschmidt, Paul       NL        1B     1.088      .729  -.359
    Hicks, Aaron            AL        CF      .757      .400  -.357
    Thompson, Trayce        NL        RF     1.079      .723  -.356
    LeMahieu, DJ            NL        2B     1.016      .669  -.347
    Grandal, Yasmani        NL         C      .836      .492  -.344
    Russell, Addison        NL     SS/2B      .841      .508  -.333
    Phillips, Brandon       NL        2B      .897      .575  -.322
    Rupp, Cameron           NL         C      .904      .583  -.321
    Gonzalez, Marwin        AL  1B/3B/SS/LF   .817      .498  -.319
    Guyer, Brandon          AL     LF/DH     1.009      .692  -.317
    Lind, Adam              AL     1B/DH      .857      .540  -.317
    Barney, Darwin          AL  2B/SS/3B      .931      .621  -.310
    Martinez, J.D.          AL        RF      .978      .671  -.307
    Parra, Gerardo          NL        LF      .870      .573  -.297
    Ortiz, David            AL        DH     1.288      .992  -.296
    Wolters, Tony           NL         C      .735      .449  -.286
    Lindor, Francisco       AL        SS      .942      .659  -.283
    Gregorius, Didi         AL        SS      .795      .513  -.282
    Smith, Seth             AL     RF/DH      .930      .651  -.279
    Santana, Danny          AL     SS/CF      .791      .512  -.279
    Myers, Wil              NL        1B      .946      .671  -.275
    Navarro, Dioner         AL         C      .745      .473  -.272
    Castro, Starlin         AL     2B/SS      .862      .593  -.269
    Arenado, Nolan          NL        3B     1.096      .829  -.267
    Cabrera, Melky          AL        LF      .910      .644  -.266
    Desmond, Ian            AL     SS/CF      .943      .677  -.266
    Gardner, Brett          AL        LF      .888      .624  -.264
    Rua, Ryan               AL     LF/1B      .939      .676  -.263
    Suzuki, Ichiro          AL        RF      .895      .639  -.256
    Semien, Marcus          AL        SS      .869      .613  -.256
    ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Saltalamacchia, Jarrod  AL         C      .428     1.005  +.577
    Gonzalez, Adrian        NL        1B      .518      .978  +.460
    White, Tyler            AL        1B      .479      .909  +.430
    Morrison, Logan         AL     1B/DH      .481      .881  +.400
    Realmuto, Jacob         AL         C      .548      .917  +.369
    Prado, Martin           NL        3B      .570      .939  +.369
    Dickerson, Corey        AL     DH/LH      .506      .860  +.354
    Pearce, Steve           AL  1B/2B/DH      .751     1.103  +.352
    Tomas, Yasmany          NL     RF/3B      .599      .944  +.345
    Alonso, Yonder          AL     1B/3B      .416      .758  +.342
    Reddick, Josh           AL        RF      .684     1.017  +.333
    Calhoun, Kole           AL        RF      .665      .993  +.328
    Martin, Leonys          AL        CF      .629      .952  +.323
    Rodriguez, Alex         AL        DH      .532      .849  +.317
    Franco, Maikel          NL        3B      .579      .892  +.313
    Martinez, Victor        AL     DH/1B      .775     1.083  +.308
    Revere, Ben             NL        CF      .341      .635  +.294
    Holliday, Matt          NL     LF/1B      .641      .934  +.293
    DeShields, Delino       AL        CF      .461      .744  +.283
    Infante, Omar           AL        2B      .452      .733  +.281
    Fowler, Dexter          NL        CF      .780     1.050  +.270
    Puig, Yasiel            NL        RF      .491      .755  +.264
    Tulowitzki, Troy        AL        SS      .530      .788  +.258
    Valencia, Danny         AL        3B      .863     1.116  +.253
    *min 50 PA home/road

Next, these bats have shown the widest home/road isolated power (ISO) variances so far in 2016:

  • ISO, Home vs. Road
    
    Name                League  Position  ISO Home  ISO Road  Diff
    ==================  ======  ========  ========  ========  =====
    Adams, Matt             NL        1B      .386      .095  -.291
    McCann, James           AL         C      .226      .000  -.226
    Phillips, Brandon       NL        2B      .262      .036  -.226
    Goldschmidt, Paul       NL        1B      .324      .104  -.220
    Grandal, Yasmani        NL         C      .275      .056  -.219
    Moreland, Mitch         AL        1B      .263      .045  -.218
    Carter, Chris           NL        1B      .376      .167  -.209
    Lind, Adam              AL     1B/DH      .270      .062  -.208
    Seager, Corey           NL        SS      .343      .152  -.191
    Napoli, Mike            AL     1B/DH      .353      .168  -.185
    Beltran, Carlos         AL     RF/DH      .376      .202  -.174
    Gonzalez, Carlos        NL        RF      .327      .156  -.171
    Lucroy, Jonathan        NL         C      .287      .125  -.162
    Cabrera, Miguel         AL        1B      .304      .143  -.161
    Gregorius, Didi         AL        2B      .182      .021  -.161
    Guyer, Brandon          AL     LF/DH      .288      .128  -.160
    Gonzalez, Marwin        AL  1B/3B/SS/LF   .218      .063  -.155
    Abreu, Jose             AL     1B/DH      .229      .078  -.151
    Arenado, Nolan          NL        3B      .376      .226  -.150
    ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Saltalamacchia, Jarrod  AL         C      .111      .386  +.275
    Rodriguez, Alex         AL        DH      .082      .323  +.241
    Valencia, Danny         AL        3B      .143      .373  +.230
    Dickerson, Corey        AL     DH/LF      .133      .347  +.214
    Martin, Leonys          AL        CF      .103      .299  +.196
    Jennings, Desmond       AL        LF      .046      .232  +.186
    White, Tyler            AL        1B      .091      .275  +.184
    Coghlan, Chris          NL  2B/3B/LF      .017      .192  +.175
    Davis, Rajai            AL        CF      .067      .227  +.160
    Taylor, Michael         NL        CF      .036      .191  +.155
    Mazara, Nomar           AL        RF      .105      .256  +.151
    *min 50 PA home/road

Finally, these bats have posted the widest home/road batting eye ratio splits:

  • Eye ratio (BB/K), LH vs. RH
    
    Name                League  Position  Eye Home  Eye Road  Diff
    ==================  ======  ========  ========  ========  =====
    Suzuki, Ichiro          NL        RF      6.00      0.80  -5.20
    Dyson, Jarrod           AL        CF      2.33      0.44  -1.89
    Ramirez, Jose           AL  3B/LF/2B      2.00      0.38  -1.62
    Andrus, Elvis           AL        SS      1.30      0.13  -1.17
    LeMahieu, DJ            NL        2B      1.45      0.35  -1.10
    Revere, Ben             NL        CF      1.50      0.46  -1.04
    Beltre, Adrian          AL        3B      1.17      0.23  -0.94
    Holt, Brock             AL  LF/3B/2B      1.13      0.23  -0.90
    Navarro, Dioner         AL        AL      0.86      0.06  -0.80
    Aoki, Nori              AL        LF      1.30      0.50  -0.80
    Mauer, Joe              AL     1B/DH      1.46      0.67  -0.79
    Santana, Carlos         AL     DH/1B      1.50      0.74  -0.76
    Ortiz, David            AL        DH      1.24      0.50  -0.74
    Pedroia, Dustin         AL        2B      1.07      0.37  -0.70
    Johnson, Kelly          NL  2B/1B/LF      0.80      0.13  -0.67
    Gardner, Brett          AL        LF      1.19      0.52  -0.67
    Wallace, Brett          NL     3B/1B      1.00      0.35  -0.65
    Adams, Matt             NL        1B      0.75      1.11  -0.64
    Arenado, Nolan          NL        3B      1.38      0.74  -0.64
    Valencia, Danny         AL        3B      0.73      0.12  -0.61
    Span, Denard            AL        CF      1.50      0.93  -0.57
    Rizzo, Anthony          NL        1B      1.46      0.89  -0.57
    Jackson, Austin         AL        CF      0.79      0.24  -0.55
    Beckham, Gordon         NL     2B/3B      1.29      0.75  -0.54
    Escobar, Yunel          AL        3B      0.85      0.31  -0.54
    Hechavarria, Adeiny     NL        SS      0.67      0.13  -0.54
    Flores, Ramon           NL        CF      0.83      0.30  -0.53
    Blackmon, Charlie       NL        CF      1.00      0.50  -0.50
    Simmons, Andrelton      AL        SS      1.00      0.50  -0.50
    Inciarte, Ender         NL        CF      1.00      0.50  -0.50
    Herrera, Odubel         NL        CF      1.15      0.65  -0.50
    ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Pearce, Steve           AL  1B/2B/DH      0.23      1.67  +1.44
    Ortega, Rafael          AL        LF      0.17      1.33  +1.16
    Iglesias, Jose          AL        SS      0.28      1.13  +0.85
    Prado, Martin           NL        3B      0.21      0.92  +0.71
    Pagan, Angel            NL        LF      0.33      1.00  +0.67
    Markakis, Nick          NL        RF      0.50      1.13  +0.63
    Barnhart, Tucker        NL         C      0.07      0.69  +0.62
    Phillips, Brandon       NL        2B      0.10      0.64  +0.54
    *min 50 PA home/road

Let's take a closer look at some hitters who own significant home/road production and batting eye splits.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Jarrod Dyson (CF, KC) remains a fourth or fifth OF type given that he doesn't play enough to warrant a regular look in most leagues. That said, Dyson is posting career highs in both contact (89% ct%) and batting eye ratio (0.92 Eye). His pitch recognition has been especially strong at home (2.33 Eye), which has enabled him to post a .396 OBP there. On the road, his plate control (0.44 Eye) and on-base ability (.293 OBP) suffers. If Dyson's improved bat-on-ball success expands, he could carve out a more prominent role and finally tap into his 40+ SB upside.

Desmond Jennings (LF, TAM) has become an afterthought in many leagues after years of disappointment. His big struggles so far in 2016 largely are the result of a tiny 22% h%. After posting a 30%+ h% each of the last five seasons, there's good reason to expect a rebound there. In addition, his .232 ISO on the road gives some hope that his power isn't a total lost cause, as it has been at home (.046 ISO). Jennings is the type of player who could return some post-hype value but likely will need a change of scenery to do so.

Leonys Martin (CF, SEA) has turned it on over the last month (.347 BA, 5 HR, 9 RBI, 1.095 OPS). And those marks have come with very strong underlying support: 13% bb%, 86% ct%, 145 HctX, 144 xPX, 127 BPV. A closer look suggests that Martin can be very useful away from Safeco (.952 OPS, .299 ISO). His production and power both tank at home (.629 OPS, .103 ISO).

Mitch Moreland (1B, TEX) has a sub-.200 BA over the last month and a mediocre .709 OPS in 199 AB for the season. However, if you play in a deep league and need some corner-infield help, Moreland is someone to consider when he's hitting at home. He has an .829 OPS, .263 ISO, and 0.44 Eye there, compared to a .469 OPS, .045 ISO, and 0.19 Eye on the road.

Steve Pearce (1B/2B/DH, TAM) features an interesting reverse home-road split. At home, he's more solid than impactful (.751 OPS, .200 ISO, 0.23 Eye). On the road, he features elite production, very good power, and top-tier pitch recognition: 1.103 OPS, .232 ISO, 1.67 Eye.

Danny Valencia (3B, OAK) was barely hanging on to an OAK roster spot after a bad April. Since then, few hitters have been better. Valencia has a 1.121 OPS in 94 AB over the last month. Sure, a crazy 34% HR/F has helped a lot, but he's still making plenty of hard contact (135 HctX). Just keep in mind that most of his power is occurring on the road (1.116 OPS, .373 ISO). His pitch recognition is better at home (0.73 Eye), but his power disappears there (.143 ISO).

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Matt Adams (1B, STL) owns the widest home/road splits in the game. He's a must-start at home, where he thumps the ball and also shows very good plate control: 1.281 OPS, .386 ISO, 0.75 Eye. On the road, he struggles to recognize pitches (0.11 Eye) or do anything with them when he makes contact (.633 OPS, .095 ISO). Use him accordingly.

Chris Coghlan (2B/3B/LF, CHC) might be a better buy-low target than it may seem. His home/road splits reveal why. He has been horrible at home this season (.343 OPS, .017 ISO, 0.20 Eye). Away from OAK, his bat at least has shown some signs of life (.192 ISO). Coghlan is a good mid-season stash if you can put him as your 2B or MI, especially now that he's back with CHC.

Matt Duffy (3B, SF) owns some pretty pedestrian overall stats (.238 BA, 3 HR, 17 RBI in 235 AB). His greatest value has been with his legs (7 SB). Still, his bat has produced at a pretty nice clip during his home starts (.859 OPS), and he has done so without sacrificing pitch recognition (0.79 Eye). Both suffer on the road (.407 OPS, 0.44 Eye).

Adrian Gonzalez (1B, LA) has really struggled at home so far in 2016 (.518 OPS, .089 ISO, 0.46 Eye). All of those marks are much better when he is away from LA: .978 OPS, .132 ISO, 0.75 Eye. You can maximize your value from him if you can sit him during his home starts.

Brett Wallace (3B/1B, SD) is years removed from being a top hitting prospect. That said, he has shown some interesting flashes again that make him roster-worthy in deep leagues. He has looked like a complete hitter at home (.826 OPS, .203 ISO, 1.00 Eye). All of those marks have tanked away from SD: .674 OPS, .145 ISO, 0.35 Eye. Given the big power flash he generated late in 2015, he's a worthy speculation as your CI or U if you play in a very deep league.


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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.