BATTERS: BPV leaders, September 2018

Let's complete our look back at the most skilled players of September 2018 by moving on to hitters.

Here were the most skilled bats in September/October:

75+ BPV, September/October 2018*

​Name                League  Position       bb%  ct%  Eye   PX   HctX  xPX  Spd  BPV
==================  ======  =============  ===  ===  ====  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===
Yelich, Christian       NL             CF  20%  83%  1.50  224   140  159  124  189
Story, Trevor           NL             SS   6%  72%  0.24  279   113  199   96  153
Rendon, Anthony         NL             3B  11%  89%  1.17  169   111  145  101  145
Gregorius, Didi         AL             SS   8%  90%  1.00  153   132  108  123  139
Puig, Yasiel            NL             RF  10%  83%  0.64  198   147  139   77  135
Voit, Luke              AL             1B  11%  69%  0.41  251   127  177  107  133
Bregman, Alex           AL          3B/SS  17%  83%  1.20  169    71   52   95  131
Pham, Tommy             AL             CF  16%  68%  0.63  203   124  163  199  130
Beltre, Adrian          AL          3B/DH   5%  84%  0.36  204   139  205   49  126
Trout, Mike             AL             CF  18%  74%  0.85  203   112  147   89  121
Betts, Mookie           AL             CF  16%  74%  0.78  187   110   83  118  116
O'Hearn, Ryan           AL             1B  13%  71%  0.52  212    98  147  112  115
Conforto, Michael       NL             LF  10%  79%  0.54  188    89  137   91  114
Choi, Ji-Man            AL             DH  14%  76%  0.73  192   120  121   73  111
Piscotty, Stephen       AL             RF   9%  75%  0.43  202   136  146   90  109
Dahl, David             NL             LF   6%  75%  0.27  203   100  124  105  107
Andujar, Miguel         AL             3B   5%  89%  0.50  134   123  104   96  106
Braun, Ryan             NL             LF  14%  75%  0.65  190   184  163   73  103
Ohtani, Shohei          AL             DH   9%  71%  0.36  197   133  155  131  103
Lindor, Francisco       AL             SS   7%  87%  0.60  124   130  148  131  103
Arenado, Nolan          NL             3B   7%  79%  0.39  179   115  158   81  101
Dickerson, Corey        NL             LF   6%  81%  0.31  152   103   86  136   99
Harper, Bryce           NL             RF  27%  71%  1.31  159   120  149  107   99
Blackmon, Charlie       NL             CF   8%  79%  0.43  162   119  144  113   99
Donaldson, Josh         NL             3B  17%  80%  1.00  138   147  148  108   98
Hernandez, Enrique      NL       CF/2B/SS  14%  86%  1.20   92   131  122  162   97
Wendle, Joe             AL          2B/3B  10%  87%  0.92  122   136   80   94   97
Marte, Ketel            NL          2B/SS  10%  79%  0.53  138   122   91  150   94
Marte, Starling         NL             LF   7%  86%  0.57  123    84   86  121   94
Turner, Justin          NL             3B  13%  83%  0.88  136   150  153   83   94
Name                League  Position       bb%  ct%  Eye   PX   HctX  xPX  Spd  BPV
==================  ======  =============  ===  ===  ====  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===
Castellanos, Nick       AL             RF  10%  78%  0.55  154   128  133  113   92
Moran, Colin            NL             3B  11%  81%  0.70  141   124  152   92   90
Pederson, Joc           NL             CF   7%  64%  0.21  241   115  147   83   90
Soto, Juan              NL             LF  14%  79%  0.76  141    97   85  106   90
Tellez, Rowdy           AL             1B   3%  70%  0.10  218   103  138   90   89
Kiermaier, Kevin        AL             CF   6%  76%  0.27  160   111  122  145   88
Diaz, Aledmys           AL          SS/3B  10%  85%  0.73  122    87  100   95   88
Hoskins, Rhys           NL             LF  11%  75%  0.50  176    91  150   80   88
Grichuk, Randal         AL             RF   3%  60%  0.09  256   102  198  110   86
Grossman, Robbie        AL          DH/RF  19%  85%  1.57   90    97   78  112   86
Machado, Manny          NL          3B/SS   7%  87%  0.57  113   127  100  106   86
Astudillo, Willians     AL              C   3%  99%  2.00   76   119   77   76   85
Cron, C.J.              AL          DH/1B  10%  70%  0.38  192   110  126  102   85
Bogaerts, Xander        AL             SS  13%  77%  0.65  150   101   87   94   85
Lowe, Brandon           AL             2B   7%  73%  0.27  179   103  123  115   85
Haniger, Mitch          AL             RF   9%  78%  0.45  139   101  107  136   84
Davis, Khris            AL             DH  11%  67%  0.35  213   103  206   76   83
Santana, Carlos         AL             1B  16%  88%  1.50   94    79   66   75   81
Gordon, Dee             AL          2B/CF   1%  91%  0.17   84    55   43  148   80
Profar, Jurickson       AL       1B/3B/SS   8%  79%  0.40  140   145  162  117   80
Reddick, Josh           AL             RF  13%  84%  0.90  105    91  105  110   79
Robles, Victor          AL             CF   6%  80%  0.33  132   104  106  133   78
Nimmo, Brandon          NL             RF  27%  76%  1.61  110    78   93   99   78
Albies, Ozzie           NL             2B   9%  82%  0.56  107    80   96  146   78
Hedges, Austin          NL              C   6%  78%  0.31  149   119  109  103   77
Gallo, Joey             AL          1B/RF   9%  52%  0.22  277   115  201   84   77
Muncy, Max              NL          1B/3B  19%  66%  0.70  175   125  178  108   77
Fletcher, David         AL          2B/3B   5%  97%  1.50   59    94   -1  104   76
Margot, Manuel          NL             CF   8%  86%  0.60   77   158  131  178   75
Bell, Josh              NL             1B  17%  78%  0.94  123   151  157   91   75
*min 50 AB

Let's take a closer look at a bunch of noteworthy September skill performances.
 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Miguel Andujar (3B, NYY) emerged as a frontline 3B during a 2018 season in which he posted an .800+ OPS in five of six months. His underlying skills were even more consistent (77 BPV in 1H, 77 BPV in 2H). He was excellent during the final month of the season, showing elite contact (89% ct%) and impactful skills (106 BPV). He also displayed good power against both lefties and righties. Just bear in mind that most of his power came at Yankee Stadium, so we can't put another 25 HR in stone just yet (16 HR, .913 OPS at home; 11 HR, .799 OPS on road).

Willians Astudillo (C, MIN) pushed some of his owners over the top during his big September (.388 BA, .937 OPS in 67 AB in September). While we can't expect a near-.400 BA from him, his .314 xBA in September suggests he can add value there, since he never strikes out (97% ct% in 93 AB). His athletic ability makes it possible that he can be a factor on the basepaths too. He'll be one of the more intriguing catcher plays in 2019 drafts.

David Fletcher (2B/3B, LAA) did not appear to have a big September to wrap up 2018 (.271 BA, .673 OPS in 59 AB). A closer look reveals more reasons for optimism though. His plate skills were fantastic (97% ct%, 1.50 Eye). His overall skills were better in September than during any other month (75 BPV). Given his above-average wheels (112 Spd), Fletcher could be a darkhorse threat for a .300 BA and 20 SB if his growth continues and an opportunity aligns.

Robbie Grossman (DH/RF, MIN) took his solid plate discipline to a new level in September (19% bb%, 85% ct%, 1.57 Eye). With subpar power and only so-so speed, his upside is limited, especially at age 29. Still, those in very deep leagues who are looking for a fifth OF or DH stash could do worse than speculate on Grossman.

Tommy Pham (CF, TAM) saved his best month of the 2018 season for September. He was a multi-category stud that month (.368 BA, 5 HR, 5 SB in 95 AB). And he didn't achieve those stats by abandoning his strengths. He paired those results with an elite walk rate (16% bb%) and upper-tier underlying power (163 xPX) and speed (199 Spd). With his ability to draw walks and a speed score that has improved in each of the last two seasons, there's 30+ SB potential lurking here.

Jurickson Profar (1B/3B/SS, TEX) should have a good shot at earning an everyday role at 3B with TEX after the retirement of Adrian Beltre. While Profar has been a disappointment in the past, the gains he showed in 2018 were for real. And his underlying skills in September (162 xPX, 117 Spd) remind us that he still carries some untapped multi-category potential beyond what he showed last season.
 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

David Dahl (LF, COL) is another high-upside bat with a long injury history who should be worthy of your attention in 2019. A healthy Dahl put up a strong .985 OPS in September 2018, a mark that came with the backing of good underlying power skills (124 xPX). It's a reminder of his upper-tier power/speed combo. Dahl is one of the better post-hype plays in the game.

Enrique Hernandez (CF/2B/SS, LA) had the best season of his career in 2018 (21 HR, .806 OPS in 402 AB). That growth was a function of more consistent playing time, which resulted from his development into more than just a lefty masher (.833 OPS vR). He had a really big finish to the season too, putting up a .968 OPS and pairing it with excellent plate skills (14% bb%, 86% ct%, 1.20 Eye). He hasn't peaked yet.

Ketel Marte (2B/SS, ARI) looked like a premium profit center heading into the 2018 season, but he struggled out of the gate and didn't get things turned around until June (.710 OPS in 1H). His strong second half reminds us why he still carries more profit potential than most middle-infielders (.836 OPS in 2H). That thump was supported by very good plate skills (12% bb%, 83% ct%, 0.83 Eye) and slick wheels (138 Spd). There's 20/20 potential here that most owners won't realize exists.

Colin Moran (3B, PIT) didn't deliver impactful results during his first extended look in the majors in 2018 (.277 BA, .747 OPS in 415 AB). Nevertheless, something clicked for him in September. His production soared (.912 OPS), it was backed by a 152 xPX, and it didn't happen because he opened up his swing (11% bb%, 81% ct%, 0.70 Eye). It's a nugget worth tucking away when you're looking for a 3B or CI in 2019 drafts.

Yasiel Puig (RF, LA) put up numbers in 2018 that weren't much different than what he posted in 2017, which will lead many owners to continue to view him as an injury-prone wildcard with already-established upside. Don't follow suit. A healthy Puig in September reminded us what his ceiling is (.295 BA, 8 HR, 1.073 OPS in 61 AB). Those marks were fully supported by his 135 BPV too. If you are looking for a breakout target and can stomach his injury risk, now's the time to speculate on a $30 season from Puig.

Anthony Rendon (3B, WAS) has shed his injury-prone label in recent years to become a $25 lock. And few betters were better than Rendon last September (.352 BA, 1.096 OPS, 142 BPV in 105 AB). His approach at the plate was off-the-charts too: 11% bb%, 89% ct%, 1.17 Eye. Rendon is another high-upside bat who might not have peaked yet.


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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.