BATTERS: 2020 LIMA targets

The Low Investment Mound Aces (LIMA) Plan is a way for you to target consistent, affordable hitters who offer both solid plate discipline and some power/speed upside.

Our latest iteration of the LIMA model suggests that we should target hitters who are projected to meet some of the following thresholds:

  • CT% + BB% of 90% or greater
  • PX or Spd level of 100 or greater
  • Regular playing time
  • Projected R$ between $10 and $30

Last year in this space, we spotlighted guys like Max Kepler (RF, MIN), Ketel Marte (CF/2B, ARI), Anthony Rendon (3B, LAA) and Jeff McNeil (LF/2B/3B, NYM), all of whom delivered significant value to their owners in 2019.

LIMA values can vary based on your league context. We encourage you to use our Custom Draft Guides to see customized LIMA targets for your league.

Here are the top 2020 projected LIMA hitting targets in a 15-team, 5x5 mixed league:

                                       -----------Projected 2020----------
Name                 League  Position  bb%  ct%  Eye   PX   Spd  BPV  LIMA
===================  ======  ========  ===  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  ====
Marte, Ketel             NL     CF/2B   9%  85%  0.64  100  140   82    A
Soto, Juan               NL        LF  16%  76%  0.82  135  111   80    A
Donaldson, Josh          AL        3B  16%  73%  0.68  150   78   67    A
Bell, Josh               NL        1B  12%  79%  0.67  121   82   64    A
Kepler, Max              AL        RF  10%  81%  0.60  110   84   59    A
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Turner, Justin           NL        3B  10%  83%  0.67  111   87   70    B+
McNeil, Jeff             NL  LF/2B/3B   7%  86%  0.49   95  119   69    B+
Santana, Carlos          NL     1B/DH  15%  82%  0.99  104   81   68    B+
Springer, George         AL        CF  12%  77%  0.57  126  114   67    B+
Rizzo, Anthony           NL        1B  12%  84%  0.83  103   76   67    B+
Albies, Ozzie            NL        2B   7%  82%  0.45  100  135   66    B+
Brantley, Michael        AL     LF/DH   8%  88%  0.77   85   84   65    B+
Meadows, Austin          AL     RF/DH   8%  78%  0.38  128  108   65    B+
Semien, Marcus           AL        SS  10%  82%  0.62   99  122   65    B+
Devers, Rafael           AL        3B   7%  78%  0.36  126   76   52    B+
Moustakas, Mike          NL     3B/2B   9%  82%  0.53  116   73   63    B+
Andujar, Miguel          AL        DH   6%  85%  0.38  106   89   63    B+
Gurriel, Yulieski        AL     1B/3B   5%  88%  0.43   86   98   61    B+
Hoskins, Rhys            NL        1B  15%  72%  0.61  137   95   56    B+
Arraez, Luis             AL     2B/3B   9%  91%  1.13   47  105   54    B+
Benintendi, Andrew       AL        LF  10%  78%  0.50  105  117   53    B+
Devers, Rafael           AL        3B   7%  78%  0.36  126   76   52    B+
Rosario, Eddie           AL        LF   4%  82%  0.24  105   97   52    B+
Calhoun, Willie          AL        LF   7%  83%  0.48   95   88   52    B+
Escobar, Eduardo         NL     3B/2B   7%  79%  0.36  106   99   47    B+

Name                 League  Position  bb%  ct%  Eye   PX   Spd  BPV  LIMA
===================  ======  ========  ===  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  ====
Peralta, David           NL        LF   8%  79%  0.42   97  111   46    B+
Gregorius, Didi          NL        SS   5%  85%  0.37   79  103   45    B+
Lopez, Nicky             AL     2B/SS   7%  89%  0.62   45  130   45    B+
Newman, Kevin            NL     SS/2B   6%  87%  0.45   54  136   44    B+
Fletcher, David          AL 3B/2B/SS/LF 6%  88%  0.58   50  115   43    B+
Pillar, Kevin            AL        CF   4%  84%  0.23   87   96   43    B+
Markakis, Nick           NL        RF   9%  85%  0.72   69   80   42    B+
Anderson, Brian          NL     3B/RF   9%  75%  0.38  111  106   41    B+
Gurriel, Lourdes         AL        LF   4%  76%  0.19  117  111   41    B+
Seager, Kyle             AL        3B   9%  79%  0.46  105   69   41    B+
Heyward, Jason           NL        RF  10%  82%  0.62   75  107   41    B+
Grichuk, Randal          AL        RF   6%  71%  0.20  136  113   40    B+
Belt, Brandon            NL        1B  13%  74%  0.59  110   90   40    B+
Castro, Starlin          NL     2B/3B   5%  81%  0.28   92   90   39    B+
Ahmed, Nick              NL        SS   8%  79%  0.39   89  114   39    B+
Alberto, Hanser          AL     2B/3B   3%  90%  0.27   51  103   39    B+
Rojas, Miguel            NL        SS   6%  87%  0.45   57  102   38    B+
Hernandez, Cesar         AL        2B   9%  81%  0.52   63  136   34    B+
Longoria, Evan           NL        3B   7%  77%  0.34   97   99   33    B+
Santander, Anthony       AL        RF   5%  79%  0.23   93  108   33    B+
Davis, Khris             AL        DH   9%  70%  0.34  134   81   31    B+
DeJong, Paul             NL        SS   8%  72%  0.30  115   96   27    B+
Calhoun, Kole            NL        RF  10%  72%  0.42  110   70   21    B+
Bradley, Jackie          AL        CF   9%  70%  0.35  111  100   21    B+

Let's take a closer look at a bunch of intriguing LIMA targets who could deliver significant profit in 2020.
 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Luis Arraez (2B/LF, MIN) isn't being drafted as a starting 2B in most leagues (239 ADP), but he could provide that kind of value in 2020. He showed elite plate discipline during his rookie season with MIN in 2019 (10% bb%, 91% ct%, 1.24 Eye). He hit the ball hard (89.4 mph exit velocity). And he showed decent speed (111 Spd). Those attributes could make him an upper-tier BA/SB play.

Willie Calhoun (LF, TEX) is a former top hitting prospect who finally turned that pedigree into results in 2019. He had 21 HR in 309 AB with TEX, power that manifested due in part to a 17.6 degree launch angle. In addition, his plate skills got better as the season went along (7% bb%, 84% ct%, 0.49 Eye in 2H). At age 25, Calhoun carries some legitimate breakout appeal in 2020.

Khris Davis (DH, OAK) struggled with injuries in a lost 2019 season. That said, few hitters have a longer history of better raw power than Davis does (160+ xPX in four of six seasons prior to 2019). His poor 2019 season has resulted in his market value tanking (179 ADP). If he looks healthy this spring, there's significant profit potential here.

Rafael Devers (3B, BOS) developed into an elite bat vs. RHers in 2019. He had a .330 BA and .996 OPS against them, and his plate skills vR were much better than any we've seen from him in the past (9% bb%, 82% ct%, 0.55 Eye vR). Furthermore, Devers' 92.1 mph exit velocity was in the top 6% of the league. The missing piece is tweaking his low 10.3 degree launch angle to uncork even more of his power.

Nicky Lopez (2B/SS, KC) enters 2020 with some good appeal as a LIMA batter target. His 90%+ combination of walks (4% bb%) and contact (87% ct%) gives him a solid foundation at the plate. He also posted a 130 Spd in 2019, an indication that he has the speed to increase his SB totals. He's an attractive play, especially at his current 573 ADP.

Marcus Semien (SS, OAK) took a big step forward in 2019. His plate skills blossomed (12% bb%, 84% ct%, 0.85 Eye). And he hit RHers with authority for the first time in his career, posting a 114 PX against them along with good plate skills. His exit velocity also soared, gaining more than two mph from the year prior. Combined with his elite durability, Semien has the staying power to remain an upper-tier SS.
 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Rhys Hoskins (1B, PHI) saw his production dip late in 2019. But he still posted a strong 131 xPX in the second half with nearly identical plate discipline to that which he showed in the first half. He still posted 90+ mph exit velocity and carried a high launch angle. He's a cornerstone bat that you can get at a good value based on his current 116 ADP.

Mike Moustakas (3B/2B, CIN) featured in 2019 a 90% ct% + bb%, a level of plate discipline that makes him an intriguing LIMA batter target when combined with his steadily solid power. In fact, he has posted a 120+ xPX in each of the last four seasons. He should enjoy hitting in CIN, too. He could give you 40 HR from your 2B slot.

Kevin Newman (SS/2B, PIT) developed into a legitimate everyday SS in 2019. He put up a near-90% ct% in four of the five months he played with PIT. And the 167 Spd he posted in the second half supported his late SB spike. He's another excellent LIMA play as a MI with a high BA floor and the potential for more steals than you might realize.

Jurickson Profar (2B, SD) is being avoided in many leagues (363 ADP) after the down year he had in 2019. But that season wasn't as bad as it seemed. For one, his plate approach was fantastic in the second half (13% bb%, 85% ct%, 1.08 Eye). His barrel rate increased too. His main problem was that he struggled against RHers after hitting them pretty well during his 2018 mini-breakout. Profar makes for an excellent value stock heading into 2020.

Amed Rosario (SS, NYM) is another high-upside middle-infielder that took his game to a new level in 2019. He became a good source of batting average in the second half (.321 BA). While it was aided by a 37% h% that was well above his prior baseline, note that he cut down on his strikeouts a lot (75% ct% in 1H, 84% ct% in 2H). At age 24 and with his multi-category potential, Rosario will be one of the game's best LIMA batter targets in 2020 drafts.


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  For more information about the terms used in this article, see our Glossary Primer.